Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.874851 2.148895 2.440107 2.771650 3.137667 3.528422 3.976135
2025-02-02 1.404548 1.789877 2.232750 2.774772 3.415389 4.143507 5.028477
2025-02-09 1.071837 1.508544 2.047852 2.751372 3.632556 4.687131 6.030856
2025-02-16 0.823876 1.274855 1.870430 2.693372 3.777809 5.133861 6.930812
2025-02-23 0.670238 1.131090 1.777420 2.716292 4.007767 5.682340 7.972953
2025-03-02 0.536628 0.987343 1.657687 2.678792 4.140377 6.098935 8.854996
2025-03-09 0.449826 0.896180 1.596204 2.708011 4.354860 6.623941 9.893212
2025-03-16 0.371712 0.802923 1.515942 2.695386 4.500427 7.053282 10.812711
2025-03-23 0.331988 0.767816 1.520822 2.808223 4.830496 7.749941 12.122959
2025-03-30 0.293717 0.727596 1.510521 2.892636 5.118399 8.394506 13.380378
2025-04-06 0.243822 0.654329 1.432858 2.857478 5.215586 8.760624 14.249164
2025-04-13 0.212204 0.611843 1.403687 2.898266 5.430561 9.305572 15.391196
2025-04-20 0.182364 0.568306 1.369475 2.931335 5.641861 9.865081 16.593675
2025-04-27 0.157822 0.531638 1.343978 2.977715 5.878298 10.474857 17.897109
2025-05-04 0.132153 0.485554 1.292938 2.971819 6.025116 10.950083 19.013890
2025-05-11 0.107037 0.433406 1.220994 2.918297 6.084373 11.286349 19.926926
2025-05-18 0.091590 0.403767 1.193225 2.946279 6.285548 11.855439 21.215511
2025-05-25 0.074674 0.363822 1.135488 2.907840 6.363340 12.223510 22.197456
2025-06-01 0.064127 0.340816 1.113773 2.939684 6.568314 12.805731 23.531461
2025-06-08 0.053142 0.311956 1.072852 2.926511 6.687308 13.246234 24.649140
2025-06-15 0.048971 0.307443 1.093432 3.046995 7.063634 14.133884 26.511669
2025-06-22 0.044078 0.298227 1.100176 3.137049 7.385141 14.936817 28.255384
2025-06-29 0.035790 0.270581 1.052189 3.099596 7.456314 15.308481 29.299912